Prof. dr J.C.J.H. Aerts

  • Telephone:+31 20 59 89528
  • Room nr:c-529
  • Unit:faculteit der aard- en levenswetenschappen (dep. spatial analysis and decision support)
  • Position:Professor


Jeroen Aerts is head of the department ‘Water and Climate Risk’, and has established an internationally- recognized leading position in the field of water and climate risk management and assessment. In 2007 he was appointed to the chair in Risk and Insurance, and in 2012 to a second chair in Risk and Water management. Jeroen currently supervises a research group, with 4 academic staff, 15 PhD students and 3 post-docs addressing various aspects of water and climate risk management. He has developed and applied a wide range of methods to analyze water risk (flood/drought) and climate adaptation at scales from local to global. The methods include: hydrological modeling, insurance, catastrophe modeling, agent based modeling, scenario analysis, pathways, and optimization. He has published several papers in high ranking journals as Nature, Science, PNAS.

Jeroen started his career as a spatial modeler and water specialist. After conducting PhD research while staying at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Jeroen started working in 2002 at the VU University in Amsterdam. Since then, Jeroen has developed an internationally recognized flood risk research group, with close collaboration with MIT, Princeton, Wharton, IIASA, Columbia University, and London School of Economics.

Jeroen co-initiated the first large scale climate adaptation research program in the Netherlands (24 Million Euros). He has awarded by the prestigious NWO-VICI grant (1.5 mln Euros) in 2014 and won the best paper award of the Journal Risk Analysis in 2012 and 2013. He is scientific coordinator of the Connecting Delta Cities initiative under the Clinton C-40 global cities network. His international work also includes research with Munich RE, UNISDR, and is advisor to New York City on flood risk resilience issues. Finally, he is coordinator of the EU ENHANCE project on risk and Natural Hazards and program director of the MSc Hydrology educational program.


2012Professor Water and RiskVU University Amsterdam
2010Program DirectorDutch River Management program, KvK (10 mln Euros)
2008Chair Connecting Delta CitiesClinton C-40 global cities
2007Professor Water and InsuranceVU University Amsterdam, Dep. Head
Program directorDutch adaptation program BSIK-KvR (24 mln Euros)
2005Associate ProfessorVU University Amsterdam
2001Senior ResearcherVU University Amsterdam
1999Visiting ScientistUniversity of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB)
1998HeadDivision Policy Analysis and GIS, Resource Analysis
1997CoordinatorGIS and Remote Sensing division, Resource Analysis
1992AdvisorDutch Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment


Water management, Risk Management, Insurance, Decision support, Adaptation, Optimization techniques, climate change

Academic training



PhD. Spatial Optimization techniques and Decision Support systems.
UvA University of Amsterdam.


MSc, Physical Geography, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, UvA University of Amsterdam.

Selected publications

Link to full publication list at IVM since 2002

.  Aerts, C. J. H. J., W. J. W. Botzen, K. Emanuel, N. Lin, H. de Moel, and E. O. Michel-Kerjan, 2014: Evaluating flood resilience strategies for coastal megacities. Science, 344, 473-475.

.  Aerts, J.C.J.H. and Botzen, W.J. (2014). Cities’ response to climate risks. Nature CC. 4 (9), 759-760

.  Jongman B, Hochrainer-Stigler S, Feyen L, Aerts JCJH, Mechler R, Wouter Botzen WJ, Bouwer LM, Pflug GC, Rojas R, Ward PJ (2014), Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods. Nature CC, 4(4):264-268

.  Mechler, R., Bayer, J., Surminski, S., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Williges, K. (2014) Managing unnatural disaster risk from climate extremes. Nature CC, 4(4):235-237

.  Aerts, J.C.J.H., Botzen, W.J., De Moel, H. (2013) Cost Estimates for Flood Resilience and Protection Strategies in New York City. Annals of the New York Academy of Science In press

.  Aerts, J. C. J. H., Emanuel, K., Lin, N., De Moel., Botzen, W.J  (2013) Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City. Risk Analysis.33,  DOI: 10.1111/risa.12008 (2013)
.  Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2012). Hurricane Irene: a Wake Up Call for New York City?  Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2012, 1837-1840.

.  Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2012). Managing Exposure to flooding in New York City (NYC).  Nature Climate Change, 2, 377.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2011). Climate Change Impacts on pricing Long-Term Flood Insurance: A Comprehensive Study for the Netherlands.Global Environmental Change, 21(3), 1045-1060.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Botzen, W.J.W. (2011). Flood-resilient waterfront development in New York City: bridging flood insurance, building codes, and flood zoning.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1227(1), 1-82.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H., Botzen, W.J.W., Veen, A. van der, Krywkow, J. & Werners, S. (2008). Dealing with uncertainty in flood management through diversification.Ecology and Society, 13(1), art. 41.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H., Lasage, R., Beets, W., Moel, H. de & Vries, A. de (2007). Robustness of sand storage dams under climate change. Vadose Zone Journal, 6, 572-580.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H., Renssen, H., Ward, P.J., Moel, H. de, Odada, E., Bouwer, L.M. & Goosen, H. (2006). Sensitivity of global river discharges under Holocene and future climate conditions.Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (19), 1-5.

·  Bouwer, L.M. & Aerts, J.C.J.H. (2006). Financing climate change adaptation.Disasters, 30(1), 49-63.

·  Kabat, P., Vellinga, P., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Veraart, J. & Viersen, J. van (2005). Climate proofing The Netherlands.Nature, 438, 283-284.

·  Aerts, J.C.J.H. & Heuvelink, G.B.M. (2002). Using simulated annealing for resource allocation.International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 16, 571-587.


· Flood risk Global: Vietnam in The GuardianTyphoon Haynan (Dutch TV 1 Vandaag)

· Flood risk adaptation in New York City: in The Economist, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, National Geographic, Featuring in a Documentary ‘Years of Living Dangerously’. by James Cameron and Arnold Schwarzenegger

·  Flood risk in The Netherlands and EU (Dutch): RTL Late Night; Radio1 on France; Balkan; Elsevier; BNR radio on storm Surge in France

·  Climate adaptation, droughts, Africa: New Scientist; Movie Kitui Sand dams;

Ancillary activities


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Last changes Ancillary activities: Amsterdam, 15 January 2015
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